Ukraine holds elections in 2026?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónGeopolíticaRusia / Ucrania2m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 94%
Pronosticadores
26
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado29 dic 25, 20:52 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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FutuurReglas
Resolution criteria
- Ukrainian law bans presidential, parliamentary, and local elections under martial law.
- This market resolves YES if Ukraine holds any national elections (presidential or parliamentary) at any point during 2026.
- It resolves NO if no national elections are held during 2026.
- Martial law has been extended in 90-day intervals since the full-scale invasion with parliament's approval, and has most recently (as of November 2025) been extended for the 17th time until 3 February 2026.
- All political parties represented in the Verkhovna Rada signed a document in which they agreed to postpone holding any national election until after the end of martial law and agreed to work on a special law that would regulate the first post-war election, which would take place no earlier than six months after the cancellation of martial law.
