Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 3:09 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 95%
Pronosticadores
31
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado1 feb 25, 13:07 UTC9 dic 29, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Donald Trump be the last US president?
Manifold Markets"Donald Trump US president at any point between Jan 21, 2029, and Jan 20, 2033?"
Manifold MarketsTrump is US President on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be the US president when we get AGI?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExReglas
Resolves to YES if Trump is US President for one day in 2030z
- Resolves to NO otherwise.
- Resolves to NO if he passes away before 2030.
