Trump gets ANOTHER uk state visit before the end of his second term
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 70.9%
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado17 ene 26, 4:29 UTC20 ene 29, 11:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Trump gets impeached by January 20, 2029
Manifold MarketsIf Trump gets elected, will Vance get fired?
Manifold MarketsTrump gets hospitalized this term (add response)
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump go on SNL during his second term?
KalshiHow many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?
KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Trump receives an official state visit to the United Kingdom after September 19, 2025 and before January 20, 2029 (the end of his second term).
- An official state visit is defined as a formal diplomatic visit where Trump is hosted by the British monarch with full state ceremony, as recognized by the UK Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office or the Royal Household.
- Resolution can be verified through official announcements from the UK government, the White House, or the Royal Family's official channels.
- Trump completed a state visit to the UK from September 16-18, 2025, during his second presidency—his second state visit overall, with the first occurring in June 2019 during his first term.
- Historically, US presidents are typically invited for tea with the British monarch if they visit the UK for a second time while in office, and Trump's predecessors George W. Bush and Barack Obama only made a state visit once, receiving tea at Windsor Castle during the end of their second terms.
