Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualAt least 44% 93.2%Líder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+15.2 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado11 oct 26, 0:50 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Troy Jackson get 50% or more in the first round of the Maine senate election?
Manifold MarketsTroy Jackson runs behind Hannah Pingree by...? (First Round)
PolymarketWill Troy Jackson win his hometown?
Manifold MarketsTroy Jackson wins 2026 US Senate election in Maine?
Manifold MarketsWill AOC endorse or appear at a campaign event for Troy Jackson?
Manifold MarketsWill Troy Jackson win the Maine general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExReglas
The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Troy Jackson ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places
- For the first round
- Resolves YES for all correct answers if the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Troy Jackson in the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election is between the answer to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints.
- Resolves same as Kalshi.
- Resolves YES for all correct answers
