Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 8:36 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Liberal/National Coalition 70.1%Líder entre 3 opciones
Liberal/National Coalition 70.1%Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+1.7 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
17 dic 23, 4:47 UTC27 nov 26, 12:59 UTC
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Will Jess Wilson become Premier of Victoria after the 28 November 2026 state election?
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The next Victorian state election is expected to be held on 28 November 2026.
- I expect we'll know the answer shortly afterwards.
- I've set betting to close the day before the election.
- I'll resolve this soon as we have a clear answer.
- I'll use the acting Premier to resolve this, however I don't think that will impactthe result, since I'd expect that to usually be the Premier proper, or someone from the same party/coalition.
- "Other" will cover any edge cases not covered by the 2 main options.