Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 96.6%
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado8 ene 26, 21:30 UTC30 dic 26, 20:29 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Susan Collins win re-election to Maine's Senate seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsExcluding Susan Collins, will any Republican senate candidate get a higher percent of the vote than trump did in 2024?
Manifold MarketsWill Susan Collins Outperform Maine's Republican Baseline in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Graham Platner and Susan Collins debate?
KalshiWho will endorse Susan Collins?
KalshiWill Susan Collins win the Maine general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExReglas
Susan Collins received about 98% last time, and 100% before that.
- She appears to be the republicans only hope of retaining the seat.
- However trump has truth socialled today that she should not be elected ever again.
- Will the very high performance in gop primaries continue?
- Resolves No if she doesn’t run for reelection, or gets below the required amount.
- Resolves yes if she receives 95.00000%+ or more of the vote.
Mercados abiertos
Politics
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Susan Collins 95.00%+ in GOP primary for Maine Senate Seat 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 97% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Susan Collins 95.00%+ in GOP primary for Maine Senate Seat 2026??
- Está previsto que Susan Collins 95.00%+ in GOP primary for Maine Senate Seat 2026? se resuelva el 30 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Susan Collins 95.00%+ in GOP primary for Maine Senate Seat 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Susan Collins received about 98% last time, and 100% before that.