Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo Supreme Court Justice Leaves 80.7%-1.5ptLíder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores
18
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-1.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado25 mar 26, 8:12 UTC3 ene 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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PredictItReglas
This market resolves based on whether a U.S. Supreme Court Justice announces retirement/resigns/dies/out for any reason and whether a replacement is confirmed by the Senate before the end of Jan 3 2027.
- The market resolves to one of three outcomes:
- the named outcome: A sitting Justice announces retirement/resigns/dies and the Senate confirms their replacement before 11.59pm DC Time Jan 3 2027.
- the named outcome: A sitting Justice announces retirement/out but no replacement is confirmed by 11.59pm DC Time Jan 3 2027.
- the named outcome: No sitting Justice out by Jan 3 2027.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the Supreme Court and Senate confirmation votes, verifiable at supremecourt.gov and senate.gov, and major media reporting.