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  3. Starmer vs Burnham decision market - will Labour win a majority in the next general election?
Manifold Markets

Starmer vs Burnham decision market - will Labour win a majority in the next general election?

PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElecciónEurope3a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSin KYC
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Manifold Markets
**Assuming Starmer is Labour leader**, Labour wins a majority 6%
Pronosticadores

7

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 4 minutos

20 jun 26, 10:5531 dic 29, 23:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero

Resultado elegido

**Assuming Starmer is Labour leader**, Labour wins a majority6%

Reglas

Labour may or may not be about to replace Keir Starmer with Andy Burnham.

Manifold Markets
  • The major reason they're considering this because they hope it'll improve their chances in the next election.
  • This is a "Decision Market", in which you can bet on labour to win in either case - in principle, this could help Labour make that big decision!
  • Here's how it works.
  • Suppose for a moment that Burnham becomes labour leader.
  • Then there will be refunds for everyone who bet Assuming Starmer is Labour leader - whether they bet labour wins or they bet labour loses.

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Reglas

Labour may or may not be about to replace Keir Starmer with Andy Burnham.

Manifold Markets
  • The major reason they're considering this because they hope it'll improve their chances in the next election.
  • This is a "Decision Market", in which you can bet on labour to win in either case - in principle, this could help Labour make that big decision!
  • Here's how it works.
  • Suppose for a moment that Burnham becomes labour leader.
  • Then there will be refunds for everyone who bet Assuming Starmer is Labour leader - whether they bet labour wins or they bet labour loses.