Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 50.4%
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado11 ene 26, 9:42 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves to the population number divided by 1 million.
- Resolution source: 2026 Q4 data published by Instituto Nacional de Estadística
- Update 2026-03-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This is a numeric market that resolves to a value between 0 and 1, representing Spain's population divided by 1 million.
- YES/NO markets on Manifold can resolve to any probability between 0% and 100%, which will be used to encode the numerical population value.
Mercados abiertos
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-2.0pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.0pt30.3%
- <40-5.5pt12.1%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 28,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 25,3 mil €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No98%
- Yes-2.0pt2%
- Volumen total
- 6,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,8 mil €
KALSHIWhat will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
- Hurricane95%
- Canada / Canadian89%
- Tariff86%
+13 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volumen total
- 18,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 989,4 €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volumen total
- 15,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 952,4 €
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+1.5pt80.2%
- Yes-1.5pt19.8%
- Volumen total
- 136,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 247 €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Spain's population end of 2026? [in MM]?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 50% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Spain's population end of 2026? [in MM]?
- Está previsto que Spain's population end of 2026? [in MM] se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Spain's population end of 2026? [in MM]?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves to the population number divided by 1 million.