Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 76.6%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
19 oct 26, 14:55 UTC1 ene 27, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Pope Leo XIV physically arrives within the sovereign territory of the Argentine Republic at any time before January 1, 2027, at 00:00 UTC.
- This market resolves to NO if Pope Leo XIV does not visit Argentina prior to that cutoff, including if the planned apostolic journey is cancelled, indefinitely suspended, or rescheduled for 2027 or later.
- The primary source of truth will be official communications from the Holy See Press Office, supplemented by consensus coverage from major international news agencies (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press).
- Pope Leo XIV scheduled an apostolic journey to Uruguay, Argentina, and Peru for November 6–17, 2026.
- The Argentine itinerary was planned for November 8–11, 2026, featuring events in Buenos Aires, Córdoba, and Luján.
