OpenAI tender offer (or equivalent) before 2027-01-01 at >$20/unit?
AccionesOne-OffIATecnologíaNegocios y empresas2m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualSí 97.9%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado26 dic 24, 1:16 UTC2 ene 27, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
Market resolves YES if:
- (A) OpenAI conducts a tender offer between 2025-01-01 and 2027-01-01, OR
- (B) employees are allowed to convert their PPUs to cash by some other mechanism (e.g., some magic happening if OpenAI goes public; this would, as one particular case, include employee PPUs getting converted into shares tradeable on the public market),
- the conversion rate is at least $20/unit.
- The "at least $20/unit" is there because I'm also interested in the question of "will OpenAI undergo some type of corporate existence failure" and "PPU value plumetted 90%" is a proxy.
- Resolution based on official company announcements or reliable financial news reporting.
