OpenAI tender offer (or equivalent) before 2027-01-01 at >$20/unit?
EquitiesOne-OffIATecnologíaBusiness & Corporate3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 97.9%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 19 horas
Desactualizado26 dic 24, 1:16 UTC2 ene 27, 0:00 UTC
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Market resolves YES if:
- (A) OpenAI conducts a tender offer between 2025-01-01 and 2027-01-01, OR
- (B) employees are allowed to convert their PPUs to cash by some other mechanism (e.g., some magic happening if OpenAI goes public; this would, as one particular case, include employee PPUs getting converted into shares tradeable on the public market),
- the conversion rate is at least $20/unit.
- The "at least $20/unit" is there because I'm also interested in the question of "will OpenAI undergo some type of corporate existence failure" and "PPU value plumetted 90%" is a proxy.
- Resolution based on official company announcements or reliable financial news reporting.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de OpenAI tender offer (or equivalent) before 2027-01-01 at >$20/unit??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 98% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve OpenAI tender offer (or equivalent) before 2027-01-01 at >$20/unit??
- Está previsto que OpenAI tender offer (or equivalent) before 2027-01-01 at >$20/unit? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida OpenAI tender offer (or equivalent) before 2027-01-01 at >$20/unit??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Market resolves YES if: