Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual35B - 40B 26%Líder entre 12 opciones
Pronosticadores
30
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+0.4 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado7 oct 25, 16:33 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Anthropic or OpenAI revenue run rate exceed Tesla, SpaceX, and X combined by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI 2027 revenue
Manifold MarketsOpenAI 2028 revenue
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves to a consensus of reliable sources.
- Buckets are left-inclusive.
- @/Bayesian/openai-2026-peak-valuation
- @/sophiawisdom/openai-2025-revenue
- @/Bayesian/openai-revenue-in-2026 (this market)
- @/Bayesian/openai-2027-revenue
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 135,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 102,7 mil €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 325 mil €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 resultados más
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de OpenAI 2026 revenue?
- Manifold Markets cotiza 35B - 40B al 26% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve OpenAI 2026 revenue?
- Está previsto que OpenAI 2026 revenue se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida OpenAI 2026 revenue?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves to a consensus of reliable sources.