Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual≥$0.6T 100%Líder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado22 abr 26, 3:49 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
100%
100%
100%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Anthropic highest valuation by end of December 2026
Manifold MarketsSpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026
Manifold MarketsOpenAI highest valuation by end of September 2026
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill Anduril's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for OpenAI credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-12-31.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-12-31 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
Mercados abiertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Volumen total
- 12,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 90,5 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-2.0pt51%
- Before Oct 1, 202749%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-6.0pt41%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 4,8 M €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 202754%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 877 mil €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt19.8%
- $1.75T–$2.0T+0.5pt18.9%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt17.9%
+5 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202795%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
- Before Apr 1, 202792%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,5 mil €
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de OpenAI highest valuation by end of December 2026?
- Manifold Markets cotiza ≥$0.6T al 100% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve OpenAI highest valuation by end of December 2026?
- Está previsto que OpenAI highest valuation by end of December 2026 se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida OpenAI highest valuation by end of December 2026?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for OpenAI credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-12-31.