Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 6:40 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual
2027-01-08 (8-Jan-2027) 96.7%Líder entre 6 opciones
2027-01-08 (8-Jan-2027) 96.7%Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado13 jul 26, 17:34 UTC9 ene 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Resolution criteria
- Each date option represents a specific calendar day in Eastern Time (ET).
- This is an independent multiple-choice market.
- YES: Donald Trump is alive for any portion of the specified calendar date, measured in Eastern Time (ET).
- NO: Donald Trump passed away before the start of the specified calendar date (00:00 ET), or has already been officially declared deceased prior to that date.
- Resolution Sources: Resolutions will be based on official announcements or reporting from reputable national and international news organizations, including:
