Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
2027-01-08 (8-Jan-2027) 94.7%Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 36 minutos
13 jul 26, 17:34 UTC9 ene 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
On which days in 2026 will Donald Trump be alive?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be alive on 31 December 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be alive through the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWho will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
KalshiWill Donald Trump issue a public apology?
KalshiWhich countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
This description was partly generated by AI.
- Resolution criteria
- Each date option represents a specific calendar day in Eastern Time (ET).
- This is an independent multiple-choice market.
- YES: Donald Trump is alive for any portion of the specified calendar date, measured in Eastern Time (ET).
- NO: Donald Trump passed away before the start of the specified calendar date (00:00 ET), or has already been officially declared deceased prior to that date.
Mercados abiertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 693 mil €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,1 M €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 54,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 266,9 mil €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 12,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 248,7 mil €
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de On which days in 2027+ will Donald Trump be alive??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 2027-01-08 (8-Jan-2027) al 95% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve On which days in 2027+ will Donald Trump be alive??
- Está previsto que On which days in 2027+ will Donald Trump be alive? se resuelva el 9 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida On which days in 2027+ will Donald Trump be alive??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This description was partly generated by AI.