Pronóstico comunitario actual
2026-12-31 / 31st December 2026 94.3%Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado20 jul 26, 8:09 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Each answer resolves YES at 00:01 on the date listed in the answer, if Andy Burnham is Prime Minister AND has been so continuously since his appointment in July 2026.
- If he loses his job for any reason (including death/firing/resignation/losing an election) then all remaining answers will resolve NO.
- Add more dates if you want more granularity.
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de On what dates will Andy Burnham still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 2026-12-31 / 31st December 2026 al 94% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve On what dates will Andy Burnham still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom??
- Está previsto que On what dates will Andy Burnham still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida On what dates will Andy Burnham still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Each answer resolves YES at 00:01 on the date listed in the answer, if Andy Burnham is Prime Minister AND has been so continuously since his appointment in July 2026.