Non-AI catastrophe before 2100?

Preguntas frecuentes

¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Non-AI catastrophe before 2100??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 70.7% a fecha de 31 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Non-AI catastrophe before 2100??

Está previsto que Non-AI catastrophe before 2100? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2099.

¿Cómo se liquida Non-AI catastrophe before 2100??

Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Operationalised as 1billion or more people dying in a 365 day range that ends before 2100, conditional on there not being any AGI created before 2100

Usa este mercado en código o en un agente de IA

JSON gratis de este mercado, sin clave de API:

Agentes de IA: llama a pm_data_event en el servidor MCP de CoinRithm:

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google-5.5pt53.5%
• Anthropic+7.0pt38.4%
• OpenAI+0.1pt6.1%

+12 resultados más

Volumen total

3,3 M €

Volumen 24h

146,2 mil €

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini-3.5pt52.3%
• Claude+2.9pt37.4%
• ChatGPT

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-2.5pt28.3%
• $2.0–$2.25T+5.2pt22.2%
• $1.5–$1.75T-7.8pt19.2%

+7 resultados más

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,-7.0pt86%
• December 15,-6.5pt83%
• November 30,-2.5pt81%

+15 resultados más

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.5T+0.4pt94%
• ↑$1.75T+3.5pt84%
• ↑$2.0T+4.5pt70%

+11 resultados más

POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX+5.5pt57.6%
• Anthropic-4.3pt42.4%
• ByteDance0%

+9 resultados más

• When will Gemini Carbon be released?
• Anthropic IPO Date
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Best AI this week
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
• Gemini Carbon released by which date?
• Gemini Carbon released on?
• Anthropic market share this week
• Google market share this week
• OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap