Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 71.2%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado20 may 25, 2:16 UTC30 dic 30, 3:04 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
PolymarketWill Hungary still be a voting member of the EU European Commission in 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill the European Commission's AI Office issue a formal notice of non-compliance to a provider of a "High-Risk AI System" on or before December 31, 2026?
ForecastExAccountability: European Commission - Will the EC deliver on these goals and promises?
Manifold MarketsWill the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the EU Commission's investigation into Google's AdTech business end?
Manifold MarketsReglas
"Eastern Europe" defined as from a member state that joined after 2003, so including Malta, Cyprus, Czechia and Slovenia who may not archetypically be referred to as Eastern Europe.
- Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve yes, if before 2031 there is a new commission president is a member of a political party from any of the following countries: Cyprus, Czechia, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia, Croatia, Bulgaria and Romania
- If they are not a member of any political party from a individual state this question will resolve depending on their citizenship(s)
- If there is no new commission president or the new commission president is not from any of the previously mentioned countries this question will resolve no.
- "Commission president" is defined as being inaugurated as the commission president of the European Union.
