Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualJD Vance (@jd-vance-1.bsky.social) 76.7%Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado31 dic 25, 8:53 UTC1 ene 27, 7:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Most blocked non-government account on Bluesky at the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
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KalshiReglas
Resolution criterion
- This market will resolve to the Bluesky account that is blocked by more Bluesky users than any other Bluesky account at the close date.
- Resolution source
- The resolution of this market will be informed by the data available on clearsky.app.
- Should the resolution source become inactive, it may be substituted with another credible source.
- This market is set to close at 07:00:00 UTC on 1 January 2027.
Mercados abiertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 693 mil €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,1 M €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 54,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 266,9 mil €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 12,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 248,7 mil €
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- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
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- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
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- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Most blocked account on Bluesky at the end of 2026?
- Manifold Markets cotiza JD Vance (@jd-vance-1.bsky.social) al 77% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Most blocked account on Bluesky at the end of 2026?
- Está previsto que Most blocked account on Bluesky at the end of 2026 se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Most blocked account on Bluesky at the end of 2026?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criterion