Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: ChatGPT: $ 4,273 (52%)
Resuelto: 1 ago 2026, 6:58
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Pronóstico comunitario actualChatGPT: $ 4,273 52%+48.0ptLíder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores
17
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 20 días
Desactualizado27 jun 26, 18:3628 jul 26, 23:59
Cronología de Probabilidad
DeepSeek: $ 4,72216.8%
Claude: $ 4,36831.2%
ChatGPT: $ 4,27352%
52%
31.2%
16.8%
Reglas
I will use this data set:
- Gold Aug 26 (GC=F) Stock Price, News, Quote & History - Yahoo Finance
- I have asked three LLM models to calculate the 50/50 maximum gold price estimate based on historic data.
- I asked for a statistical method and a python script.
- I could not immediately verify the methods and code, because this is a learning exercise for myself.
- But these are the three outputs I got:
Mercados abiertos
Commodities
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?
- ↓ $80+27.4pt100%
- ↓ $85+9.3pt100%
- ↓ $75+27.9pt100%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 7,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 333,4 mil €
KALSHIBrent crude oil price on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $86.99+3.0pt99%
- Above $82.99+1.0pt99%
- Above $80.99+1.0pt99%
+17 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+2.0pt34.5%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+7.0pt26.6%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt12.4%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIGold price on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $4555.99+66.0pt99%
- Above $4495.99+33.0pt99%
- Above $3955.9999%
+37 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 145,1 mil €
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.08099%
- Above 3.80099%
- Above 3.82099%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 239,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 87,5 mil €
POLYMARKETWhat will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in August 2026?
- ↑ $4,600+48.4pt100%
- ↑ $4,500+64.0pt100%
- ↑ $4,400+15.4pt100%
+11 resultados más
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Gas prices in the US in Aug 2026
- EV commodity prices on Aug 21, 2026
- Oil Price (WTI) on Aug 24, 2026?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Silver price on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Copper price on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Natural gas price on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Maximum gold price in July 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza ChatGPT: $ 4,273 al 52% a fecha de 1 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Maximum gold price in July 2026??
- Está previsto que Maximum gold price in July 2026? se resuelva el 28 de julio de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Maximum gold price in July 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: I will use this data set: