Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualBefore April 2027 86.5%Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+36.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado28 oct 26, 15:52 UTC1 abr 27, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
The '+' means any version at or above K3.2 counts: if Moonshot skips K3.2 and releases Kimi K3.3 or Kimi K4, that still counts for the purpose of this market.
- Minor changes to the name, or other names for a model generally expected to be called Kimi K3.2, will also count.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
