Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 97%
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado19 sept 23, 0:37 UTC2 ene 31, 7:59 UTC
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A human will kidnap another human in space, according to conventional earth definitions of kidnapping and the definition of space below.
- In the case of lesser potential verdicts, we will attempt to determine if the truth about what happened would have qualified as kidnapping under the laws of New York as of 2023.
- On definition of space:
- Planes flying above earth don't count unless in zero g.
- Rockets do count as long as they've launched (not sitting on the surface of Earth) whether or not they have gravity.
- Space stations count.
Mercados abiertos
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- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
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- 2,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 103,1 mil €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volumen total
- 57,4 mil €
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- 57,4 mil €
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- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
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- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
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- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
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- 817,9 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Kidnapping in space any time through 2030?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 97% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Kidnapping in space any time through 2030?
- Está previsto que Kidnapping in space any time through 2030 se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2031.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Kidnapping in space any time through 2030?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: A human will kidnap another human in space, according to conventional earth definitions of kidnapping and the definition of space below.