Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 81.8%
Pronosticadores
2
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado12 feb 26, 16:23 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Clarity Act become law?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketReglas
Before January 1, 2028, will a CFTC-designated contract market (DCM) operate or officially announce a physical location in California where members of the public can trade event contracts in person?” — Resolves YES based on a press release, news report, or SEC/CFTC filing.
- Doesn’t need to literally be blackjack, just any physical “trading floor” open to the public.
- See https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/newsletters/2026-02-10/bond-trading-gets-cheaper
Mercados abiertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 12,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 220,4 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+0.5pt85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-11.0pt40%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-15.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.4%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 105,1 mil €
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+16.0pt87%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+20.0pt66%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
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- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
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- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Kalshi Felt Tables before 2028?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 82% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Kalshi Felt Tables before 2028?
- Está previsto que Kalshi Felt Tables before 2028 se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Kalshi Felt Tables before 2028?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Before January 1, 2028, will a CFTC-designated contract market (DCM) operate or officially announce a physical location in California where members of the public can trade event contracts in person?” — Resolves YES based on a press release, news report, or SEC/CFTC filing.