Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No (45.4%)
Resuelto: 1 oct 2026, 4:22
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 29 sept 2026, 23:15 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Tendencias
Perdida
Ganada
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Susan Collins Outperform Maine's Republican Baseline in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Graham Platner and Susan Collins debate?
KalshiWho will endorse Susan Collins?
KalshiWill Susan Collins win the Maine general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill Susan Collins be seen with Donald Trump before election day?
Manifold MarketsWill Susan Collins (Maine) Outperform outperform Republicans by 10%?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolves yes if Susan Collins is down by more than the margin of error in the poll.
- (MOE will be shown in the poll results) Use likely voters first, if not available, use registered voters.
- Use final ranked choice if ranked choice is used.
- If Leaners are pushed, use leaners pushed result.
- EG. if margin of error is 3.9 and Troy Jackson is up 52-48, resolve yes.
- If margin of error is 3.9 and Troy Jackson is up 51-49, resolve no
