In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the GPQA benchmark?

Preguntas frecuentes

¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the GPQA benchmark??

Manifold Markets cotiza 2026 al 97.6% a fecha de 26 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the GPQA benchmark??

Está previsto que In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the GPQA benchmark? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.

¿Cómo se liquida In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the GPQA benchmark??

Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: GPQA is a graduate-level, 448-item multiple-choice benchmark covering biology, chemistry and physics; it was designed to be “Google-proof,” defeating web-search tricks and challenging even PhD holders ― human experts average ≈ 65% accuracy, while skilled non-experts manage only 34%.

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