If Trump wins, will multiple protestors die in Washington DC?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónGeopolítica2mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 80.5%
Pronosticadores
16
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
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Actualizado hace 55 minutos
Retrasado11 mar 24, 3:49 UTC1 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
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ForecastExReglas
If Trump does not win the 2024 US presidential election, resolves N/A.
- Otherwise resolves No at the end of 2026.
- Authorities include police, national guard, or military, or any uniformed group that present themselves as responsible for maintaining law and order (or controlling protests/riots, etc), and are not contradicted in this by the administration.
- Must be reported in at least 2 major media outlets: CNN, Fox, BBC, NYT, WaPo, WSJ, The Guardian, the AP, or similar.
- This is intended to cover deaths during protests, riots, arrests, or other public confrontations, or from injuries sustained during those confrontations; not subsequent deaths while in custody.
