Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 77.6%
Pronosticadores
50
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado27 jul 24, 6:31 UTC21 ene 29, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
If Trump is elected in 2024, will he be impeached again?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump is elected, will he attempt to pardon himself?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump finish his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump go on SNL during his second term?
KalshiHow many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?
KalshiWill Trump be impeached in his second term?
FutuurReglas
Resolves N/A if Trump doesn’t win the 2024 election.
- Otherwise, resolves Yes if Trump is President through his entire second term.
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de If Trump is elected in 2024, he finish his second term??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 78% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve If Trump is elected in 2024, he finish his second term??
- Está previsto que If Trump is elected in 2024, he finish his second term? se resuelva el 21 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida If Trump is elected in 2024, he finish his second term??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves N/A if Trump doesn’t win the 2024 election.