Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 87.3%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado21 jul 24, 13:42 UTC1 ene 28, 22:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Trump has promised no tax on tips, saying it will be "first thing in office"^1.
- It is also part of the republican party platform^2.
- If Trump is elected, will there be no tax on tips by 1st Jan 2028? It doesn't have to be 100% no tax ever paid on any tip but I will resolve according to my wisdom.
- Something like this heuristic: if I go to America to randomish place, and do my normal stuff and pay tips, will at least 70% of instances go lawfully untaxed.
- If Trump is not elected, resolves N/A. 1. https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-features/trump-plan-end-taxes-tips-skepticism-1235062544/ 2. https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/2024-republican-party-platform