If Trump becomes president, will Florida constitutionalize abortion?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección1mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 62.3%
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado2 abr 24, 2:43 UTC3 nov 26, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
If Trump becomes president, will more people be imprisoned federally for drug offenses?
Manifold MarketsIf Donald Trump becomes president again in 2024-2028, will he illegally remain commander-in-chief in 2031?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump becomes president will his administration regulate or ban AR-15 style rifles?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiReglas
the Florida Supreme Court voted to ban abortion, but also cleared a path for a ballot proposition that would guarantee abortion rights in the state constitution.
- According to a recent poll, the ballot proposition has 62% support (it needs 60% to pass).
- The Biden campaign released a memo on the same day (today) characterizing Florida as “winnable” because of political momentum in the state over the abortion issue.
- Meanwhile Trump, who has won Florida in two presidential elections, has said he supports an abortion ban, albeit not as strict as the one currently in effect, but also that he respects states’ rights, and presumably a ballot proposition.
- Market closes just before the 2026 midterms.
- This market resolves NA if Trump doesn’t win.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de If Trump becomes president, will Florida constitutionalize abortion??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 62% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve If Trump becomes president, will Florida constitutionalize abortion??
- Está previsto que If Trump becomes president, will Florida constitutionalize abortion? se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida If Trump becomes president, will Florida constitutionalize abortion??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: the Florida Supreme Court voted to ban abortion, but also cleared a path for a ballot proposition that would guarantee abortion rights in the state constitution.