Pronóstico comunitario actual
Adam Back 34.7%Líder entre 10 opciones
Adam Back 34.7%Pronosticadores
22
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 21 horas
DesactualizadoTendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be revealed before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?
Manifold MarketsSatoshi's identity be proven by which date?
PolymarketWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
If Satoshi is definitively proven to be one of the people listed, that person will resolve yes.
- Otherwise, that person will resolve no.
- If Satoshi is revealed to be the named outcome, that option will resolve yes, and all the others - even if those others were part of the group - will resolve no.
- If Satoshi got occasional help, or occasionally gave another person account access, that will not be sufficient for other to resolve to yes.
- However, constant writing code together and constant and continuous sharing of account credentials will count.
