Si Donald Trump gana en 2024, ¿habrá ocurrido una guerra entre China y EE. UU. al final de su mandato en 2025?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónGeopolíticaChina2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 94.8%
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60
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
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Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado10 dic 23, 12:03 UTC1 feb 29, 22:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
War as defined by the Uppsala Conflict Data Program is "A state-based conflict or dyad which reaches at least 1000 battle-related deaths in a specific calendar year"
- This will resolve YES for any war in which China and the USA are directly and kinetically involved on opposing sides.
- "Wins in 2024" refers to the 2024 presidential election.
- If Trump loses, this market will be refunded.
- Sister market:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Symmetry/if-joe-biden-wins-in-2024-will-a-wa)
