If Democrats win the House in 2026, will Trump veto at least 5 bills in 2027?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 3:24 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualSí 71.9%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado7 oct 26, 2:13 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Trump veto at least 5 bills in 2027?
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KalshiReglas
Condition: Democrats win a majority of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 3, 2026 elections (at least 218 seats won by Democratic Party candidates, counting delegations as certified; independents count for neither party).
- If Republicans or no party win a majority, this market resolves N/A. Resolves YES if Donald Trump vetoes five or more bills or joint resolutions during calendar year 2027, counting regular and pocket vetoes as listed in the U.S. Senate's record of presidential vetoes.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- This is one half of a conditional pair; its twin asks the same question if Republicans keep the House.
- Comparing the two shows what the market thinks control of the House changes.
