How many "safe" House seats will flip in 2026?
One-OffElecciónPolítica de EE. UU.Elecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 2026Política4dManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actual≥8 56.8%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado24 ene 26, 22:30 UTC2 nov 26, 23:00 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
A seat "flips" if won by a different party than won it in 2024.
- Independents count based on which party they caucus with.
- The 68 "competitive" seats are those in Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?
- This market covers the remaining 367 seats.
- Model as of question creation: mean 16, ≥10 covers 92%, ≥20 covers 22%.