Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualthrough June 2024 100%Líder entre 14 opciones
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado6 dic 23, 8:09 UTC1 ene 31, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Is the “It’s Sugar!” in San Francisco’s downtown a money laundering front for the Taliban?
Manifold MarketsWill San Francisco experience a major earthquake before 2030?
Manifold MarketsA new major league sports team comes to San Francisco by 2030
Manifold MarketsNFL: San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks (Oct 11, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 8?
PolymarketPro Football: San Francisco Total Wins
KalshiReglas
Each market resolves YES when I have contiguously lived in San Francisco until the end of that month.
- I count it as living in SF if I tell people while abroad that "I live in SF", even if I haven't been in SF for e.g. a month.
- When I trade in this market I will try to trade based on what I believe in the moment of trading (i.e. to trade in the direction of my belief).
- I currently have a lease until..
- June 2024, I think?