Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 72.8%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 21 horas
Desactualizado30 jul 25, 8:39 UTC4 jul 76, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
This market resolves to 'Yes' if a film with a primary focus on the American Revolution ranks in the all-time top 10 of the domestic box office by the American Tricentennial, July 4, 2076.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if a film with a primary focus on the American Revolution ranks within the all-time top 10 of the domestic box office by July 4, 2076.
- The ranking will be determined based on cumulative box office gross as reported by a reputable source such as Box Office Mojo or The Numbers.
- The film must be released by a Hollywood studio and have its primary setting and narrative centered on the American Revolution.
- Historically, films centered on the American Revolution have struggled to achieve significant box office success.
