Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 99.2%
Pronosticadores
354
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado4 may 26, 18:43 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNew pandemic in 2026? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsWill Hantavirus become a pandemic in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHantavirus vaccine in 2026?
PolymarketWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiEbola pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- Follows the identical Polymarket resolution (https://polymarket.com/event/hantavirus-pandemic-in-2026).
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
Health & MedicineKALSHIWhat will Trump say during his announcement on healthcare?
- Favored Nation95%
- Medicare / Medicaid94%
- Pharma / Pharmaceutical87%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 42,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 42,3 mil €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-3.0pt93%
- Above 6000-5.0pt58%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 899,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.3pt97%
- Yes+0.3pt3%
- Volumen total
- 15,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,1 mil €
POLYMARKETHantavirus vaccine in 2026?
- No+0.3pt97%
- Yes-0.3pt3%
- Volumen total
- 120,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,9 mil €
KALSHIWill the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- No61%
- Yes+14.0pt39%
- Volumen total
- 337,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,5 mil €
POLYMARKETHeidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by which date?
- December 3164%
- November 30+4.0pt44%
- October 31-18.0pt24%
+1 resultados más
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
- When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
- Pandemic in 2026?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- New pandemic in 2026?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de ¿Pandemia de hantavirus en 2026? [Polymarket]?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 99% a fecha de 18 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve ¿Pandemia de hantavirus en 2026? [Polymarket]?
- Está previsto que ¿Pandemia de hantavirus en 2026? [Polymarket] se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida ¿Pandemia de hantavirus en 2026? [Polymarket]?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria
- ¿Dónde más está listado ¿Pandemia de hantavirus en 2026? [Polymarket]?
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Manifold Markets, Polymarket.