Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual2050 70.7%Líder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado20 mar 24, 7:09 UTC31 dic 51, 10:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill 50%+ of new cars sold in USA be Electric Cars by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill at least half of new cars sold in 2038 in the US be fully autonomous?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
PolymarketBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiReglas
Resolves based on our world in data.
- https://ourworldindata.org/electric-car-sales
- Their figure includes plug in hybrids.
- Was 8% in 2022.
- The idea of this question is the exclude hydrogen or any other competing technologies.
- I may change the data source if our world in data is no longer available (eg in 2050).