Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 1:50 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 79.9%
No 79.9%Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado12 mar 24, 11:05 UTC1 mar 33, 22:59 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Full VR Brain Computer Interface before 2034?
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolves as YES if it is possible for the median consumer to purchase a brain computer interface (BCI) that enables them to experience VR indistinguishable from the real world before January 1st 2033.
- In order for this question to resolve as YES, such a device must be available for purchase (or free) for at least 90% of adult consumers in at least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be
- @/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be-93569dad097d
- @/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be-d17e1e9eef9b (this question)
