Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 22 oct 2026, 6:40 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualYang-Mills & The Mass Gap 49.7%Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-12.4 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado9 abr 24, 19:28 UTC1 ene 99, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWhen will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?
KalshiReglas
https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/
- For each market : If the 1 million dollar prize pledged by the Clay Institute of Mathematics for the resolution of the associated problem is taken, then it resolves YES.
- (Typically : someone solves the problem and accepts the money)
- If it’s clearly consensual that it won’t be taken, then it esolves NO.
- (For example, if the Clay Institute of Mathematics ceases to exist and no money is saved to be awarded later, all remaining problems shall resolve NO ; if someone solves a problem, is awarded the money and refuses it, the corresponding question resolves NO.)
- If the money is awarded and redirected (like idk someone gets the prize and asks for it to be given to MIRI), this resolves YES.