Fedorov to announce candidacy for elections in Ukraine before 2027?
PolíticaOne-OffElecciónGeopolíticaRusia / Ucrania2m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 52.1%
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado20 jul 26, 14:08 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Mykhailo Fedorov officially and publicly announces his candidacy for any national-level political office in Ukraine (including, but not limited to, President of Ukraine or a Member of Parliament / Verkhovna Rada) on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- To trigger a YES resolution:
- The announcement must be made directly by Mykhailo Fedorov, his official representatives, or through his verified communications channels (e.g., verified social media, official press statements, or direct quotes in reputable news outlets).
- The statement must express a definitive intent to run or register as a candidate in a future national election, even if the exact date of the election remains unscheduled due to ongoing wartime martial law.
- Anonymous leaks, media speculation, or hypothetical statements (e.g., "I would consider running if...") will not suffice for a YES resolution.
