Will there be a False Flag in New York after Mamdani Election
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónGeopolítica2m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 19:55 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 83.3%
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado17 nov 25, 3:33 UTC1 ene 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Resolves YES if there is a significant false-flag event in New York City before January, 7 2027.
- For this market, a false flag means:
- The event is staged, faked, or deliberately orchestrated;
- It is publicly presented or framed as the work of a different actor;
- It is done with a clear political motive (e.g. to influence elections, public opinion, policy, repression, war, etc.).
- There must be strong evidence and a reasonable mainstream consensus (e.g. credible investigative reporting, official inquiries, court findings, widely accepted leaked documents) that the event was staged and misattributed.
