¿Elon Musk crea un partido político antes de que termine la presidencia de Trump?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 91.3%
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93
Tipo de pregunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 horas
Desactualizado11 jun 25, 5:57 UTC21 ene 29, 11:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
This market resolves YES if Elon Musk publicly announces the creation of a new political party before the end of Trump’s current term (January 20, 2029).
- The party must be intended to run candidates in U.S. elections.
- A public announcement reported by credible news sources (e.g. NYT, WSJ, Reuters, CNN, BBC, Bloomberg, AP) or official filings with the FEC will count.
- Speculation, jokes, or offhand remarks do not count unless followed by a formal announcement or filing.
- Update 2025-06-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES based on the public announcement or FEC filing of a new political party intended to run candidates in U.S. elections, regardless of whether:
- Any candidates ultimately get on the ballot.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de ¿Elon Musk crea un partido político antes de que termine la presidencia de Trump??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 91% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve ¿Elon Musk crea un partido político antes de que termine la presidencia de Trump??
- Está previsto que ¿Elon Musk crea un partido político antes de que termine la presidencia de Trump? se resuelva el 21 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida ¿Elon Musk crea un partido político antes de que termine la presidencia de Trump??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves YES if Elon Musk publicly announces the creation of a new political party before the end of Trump’s current term (January 20, 2029).