Elon Musk actually gifts a SpaceX share to every American child in 2027?
TecnologíaOne-OffEspacioEventos corporativos1a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 63.6%
Pronosticadores
124
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 33 minutos
19 oct 26, 20:35 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
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Here's the context: Elon Musk (@elonmusk) on X
- Resolution details:
- They don't need to receive the money within 2027.
- If a consensus of credible reporting says that Musk has initiated the process within the calendar year of 2027, then I'll leave the market open and it can resolve once the money is received (even if that stretches beyond 2027).
- It needs to cover >90% of children (<5 years old at the start of 2027) who are American citizens during the year 2027.
- It is ok if a smaller % actually receive it (e.g., the parent has to put in some work to get it).