During President Trumps present term.Do you think he may have a medical episode, making him incapable to finish his term
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Salud y medicina2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 6:37 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 61.3%
Pronosticadores
18
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado21 feb 25, 7:58 UTC7 ene 29, 4:59 UTC
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A "life-altering medical episode" must be a clear,
- Update 2025-02-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Early Resolution:
- The market will now resolve earlier if Trump is determined to be incapacitated as a result of any medical condition.
- This means that if Trump shows signs of incapacity, even before a full-term evaluation, the outcome may be determined at that time.
- All other criteria in the original resolution remain applicable unless the condition of early incapacity is met.
