Did "Elon Musk and Russia participate in election interference via Starlink"?
PolíticaOne-OffElecciónRusia / Ucrania1a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 91.4%
No 91.4%Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado22 ene 25, 19:25 UTC31 dic 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Resolution criteria: up to 40% for Elon, up to 40% for Russia's involvement, remaining 20% for the use of Starlink
- [image]This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through BlueSky.
- They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
- I will not be trading in those markets (except buying & selling at market creation to increase trader count).
