¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Democrats flip at least one NH state legislature chamber??

Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 80.7% a fecha de 31 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Democrats flip at least one NH state legislature chamber??

Está previsto que Democrats flip at least one NH state legislature chamber? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.

Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter.

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibrado

Pronóstico comunitario actual

Sí 80.7%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 12 horas

Desactualizado

6 ene 26, 0:52 UTC1 ene 27, 7:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter.

Source: [Predictions for 2026](https://www.slowboring.com/i/181456375/predictions-for) Yglesias assigned 80% probability to this prediction.
Original prediction: "Democrats flip at least one chamber of the New Hampshire state legislature" Resolution: Will resolve based on Yglesias' own assessment in his January 2027 review post.
If he doesn't publish one, market creator will resolve based on the outcome.