Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 30 oct 2026, 1:05 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualAbove 56 13%+5.9ptLíder entre 14 opciones
Pronosticadores
2
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+5.9 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado ayer
Desactualizado29 oct 26, 7:12 UTC1 feb 29, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdsenateseats/democratic-senate-seats/kxdsenateseats-29
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If the Democratic party has exactly 53 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
