Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 86.8%
Pronosticadores
26
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 56 minutos
Retrasado25 may 26, 6:15 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
PolymarketHow many confirmed Ebola (Bundibugyo virus disease) cases will be reported in the DRC by 31 December 2026?
Manifold MarketsWilll New Mexico be renamed to New America by EOY?
Manifold MarketsCounter-Strike: Voca vs LAG Gaming (BO3) - CCT North America Cup #1 Playoffs
PolymarketCounter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - CCT North America Cup #1 Playoffs
PolymarketWhen will it first be possible to rent an autonomous vehicle to drive between cities in North America without a license?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one laboratory-confirmed case of Ebola virus disease (EVD) is reported in North America (defined as the United States, Canada, Mexico, Central America, or the Antilles) by a national public health authority (e.g., the CDC in the United States, the Public Health Agency of Canada, the Secretariat of Health in Mexico, etc.) before 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
- If no such case is confirmed by the specified deadline, the market will resolve to "No." Cases that are suspected but not confirmed by official government health agencies do not count as a resolution for "Yes."
- Update 2026-06-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Evacuees brought to North America for quarantine/treatment count toward resolution, provided they are laboratory-confirmed cases reported by a national public health authority.
