Conditional on losing the upcoming general election, how soon will the UK Conservative party be back in power?
Política13a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
1 Jan 2032 or later 38.6%Líder entre 5 opciones
1 Jan 2032 or later 38.6%Pronosticadores
32
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado16 jun 24, 19:07 UTC30 ene 40, 20:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Predict the specific timeframe for the UK Conservative Party will return to power in the event that they lose the upcoming general election.
- This market focuses on the exact years within which the Conservative Party will regain a majority in the House of Commons and form the government.
- Resolution criteria
- This market is contingent on the Conservative Party losing the upcoming general election, as is widely expected.
- It will resolve N/A otherwise.
- The Conservative Party must successfully form the government.