Conditional on Donald Trump winning the election, will there be a free and fair election in 2028?

PolíticaOne-OffUS Politics Elección1a

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

Sí 66.6%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 11 horas

Desactualizado

30 jun 24, 7:11 UTC31 jul 28, 13:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

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Reglas

By free and fair election I mean an election that is not much less free and fair than the election held in 2020.

This will be resolved by a poll on Manifold after the 2028 election.
Market NA's if Donald Trump doesn't win.

Reportar un problema de datos de este mercado

Conditional on Donald Trump winning the election, will there be a free and fair election in 2028?

PolíticaOne-OffUS Politics Elección1a

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

Sí 66.6%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 11 horas

Desactualizado

30 jun 24, 7:11 UTC31 jul 28, 13:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Mercados Relacionados

Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.

Israel holds free and fair election in 2026?

Manifold Markets

If Donald Trump wins in 2024, will the 2028 election be free and fair?

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Free & Fair Presidential Election in Venezuela by EOY 2026?

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Will Donald J. Trump win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?

ForecastEx

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?

ForecastEx

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Polymarket

Reglas

By free and fair election I mean an election that is not much less free and fair than the election held in 2020.

This will be resolved by a poll on Manifold after the 2028 election.
Market NA's if Donald Trump doesn't win.

Reportar un problema de datos de este mercado

Preguntas frecuentes

¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Conditional on Donald Trump winning the election, will there be a free and fair election in 2028??: Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 67% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
¿Cuándo se resuelve Conditional on Donald Trump winning the election, will there be a free and fair election in 2028??: Está previsto que Conditional on Donald Trump winning the election, will there be a free and fair election in 2028? se resuelva el 31 de julio de 2028.
¿Cómo se liquida Conditional on Donald Trump winning the election, will there be a free and fair election in 2028??: Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: By free and fair election I mean an election that is not much less free and fair than the election held in 2020.

Conditional on Donald Trump winning the election, will there be a free and fair election in 2028?

Conditional on Donald Trump winning the election, will there be a free and fair election in 2028?

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