¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Claude model makes a good Geometry Dash Level before March 2027??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 84.1% a fecha de 26 de octubre de 2026.

Claude model makes a good Geometry Dash Level before March 2027?

IAOne-Off4m

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 84.1%

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binary

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Actualizado hace 15 horas

Desactualizado

11 oct 26, 2:48 UTC28 feb 27, 23:59 UTC

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Resultado24hProbabilidad

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every time a new frontier Claude comes out I will ask it to make a geometry dash clone in python with its own original level.

So far Claudes can clone the mechanics of GD with high accuracy, but the levels they design are very boring.
Resolves yes if a Claude makes a good GD level with this prompt before March 2027.
I’ll consider it “good” if I think the gameplay of the level is in the top 1/5 of the stuff I see in the new tab of actual GD.
Decor will not be considered, only layout and gameplay.
Update 2026-10-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Claude will be tested using the max thinking level.